The Tenant Mix Formula That’s Generating 25-35% NOI Lifts
Yesterday we established why the traditional anchor model is failing and how experience-led centers are capturing premium returns in Florida’s strip center market. Today, I’m giving you the exact tenant mix frameworks that are driving these results.
This isn’t theoretical. These are proven combinations being deployed right now across Florida submarkets, delivering measurable improvements in occupancy, rent per square foot, and tenant retention. I’ll show you the ratios, the tenant categories, and the strategic positioning that turns underperforming retail space into cash-generating community hubs.
The Foundation: Understanding Florida’s Consumer Behavior
Before we dive into specific tenant categories, you need to understand what drives foot traffic in Florida strip centers. Three behavioral patterns dominate:
1. Essential Services (Weekly Frequency)
Grocery shopping, pharmacy visits, banking, dry cleaning—these create predictable, repeat traffic. Florida households make 2.8 grocery trips per week on average, higher than the national average of 2.3 trips. This frequency creates the foundation for cross-shopping opportunities.
2. Planned Experiences (Weekly-Monthly Frequency)
Fitness classes, dining out, entertainment, personal care services—these are deliberate choices that generate longer dwell times. The average fitness center visit in Florida lasts 62 minutes; the average fast-casual dining experience runs 45 minutes. During these extended stays, customers browse surrounding tenants, creating cross-traffic.
3. Convenience Services (Variable Frequency)
Healthcare (urgent care, dental), pet services, phone repair, alterations—these are need-driven but irregular. However, when strategically positioned, they generate high-value traffic from customers willing to pay premium rates for convenient access.
The Tenant Mix Architecture: Four-Layer Strategy
Successful Florida experiential centers deploy a four-layer tenant mix that creates sustained traffic, maximizes dwell time, and generates premium rent capture.
Layer 1: The Stability Anchor (20-30% of GLA)
Purpose: Drive consistent weekly traffic and provide creditworthy income stability
Primary Options: - Grocery stores: Publix, Sprouts, Whole Foods, Lucky’s Market, or regional chains - Pharmacy/Health: CVS, Walgreens (though increasingly vulnerable to e-commerce) - Essential retail: HomeGoods, Ross, TJ Maxx (value-oriented soft goods)
Florida Performance Data:
Grocery-anchored centers in Florida are maintaining 93-96% occupancy versus 79-83% for non-grocery anchored properties. The rent spread is equally compelling: grocery-anchored centers command $3-6 per square foot rent premiums in comparable locations.
Strategic Positioning:
Place your stability anchor at a high-visibility corner or end-cap position to maximize drive-by awareness, but not necessarily at the center’s physical midpoint. You want customers to walk past multiple tenant storefronts to reach the anchor, creating exposure for experiential tenants.
Layer 2: The Dwell-Time Anchor (15-25% of GLA)
Purpose: Generate extended visits that create cross-shopping opportunities and social atmosphere
High-Performance Categories:
Fitness Centers (8,000-25,000 SF) - Boutique concepts: Orangetheory, F45, Pure Barre, CycleBar - Mid-size gyms: EOS Fitness, Crunch Fitness, LA Fitness - Specialized: Pickleball facilities, climbing gyms, martial arts studios
Florida fitness center performance is exceptional. The state’s year-round outdoor activity culture drives 22-28% higher membership rates than northern markets, and outdoor class extensions (using plaza space you create) boost attendance by 15-20% during peak winter tourist season.
Family Entertainment (10,000-20,000 SF) - Trampoline parks, escape rooms, VR gaming centers - Children’s activity centers, indoor playgrounds - Cinema (luxury, dine-in concepts outperforming traditional formats)
Healthcare/Wellness (5,000-15,000 SF) - Urgent care facilities - Dental practices (multi-chair, family-focused) - Physical therapy/rehabilitation centers - Med-spa and wellness centers
Florida-Specific Insight:
Healthcare tenants in Florida provide exceptional stability. The state’s aging population and retiree influx create sustained demand. Urgent care facilities typically sign 10-15 year leases at $28-38 per square foot with minimal tenant improvement requirements—ideal credit tenants for underwriting.
Strategic Positioning:
Place dwell-time anchors at opposite ends or on separate wings from your stability anchor. This creates traffic flow through the center’s experiential corridor, maximizing exposure for your highest-rent inline tenants.
Layer 3: The Experiential Corridor (40-50% of GLA)
Purpose: Capture premium rent from service and dining tenants that benefit from high traffic volume
This is where you generate your highest rent per square foot and create the experience-led atmosphere that differentiates your center.
Fast-Casual & Quick-Service Dining (20-30% of this layer)
Florida consumers over-index on dining out compared to national averages—2.8x per week versus 2.1x nationally. The climate supports year-round outdoor dining, and tourist spillover boosts weekday lunch and weekend traffic.
High-Performance Concepts: - Regional fast-casual: PDQ, 4 Rivers Smokehouse, Tijuana Flats, Piesanos - National proven performers: Chipotle, Panera, Shake Shack, Chick-fil-A - Local chef-driven concepts: independently owned but chef-branded - Specialized: Poke bowls, acai cafes, juice bars, gourmet coffee
Target Rent: $35-55 per square foot for prime food corridor positions
Strategic Mix: Aim for 4-7 food concepts in a 100,000 SF center, with diverse cuisine types to capture multiple dayparts and occasions. Include at least one breakfast/coffee anchor and one dinner-focused concept.
Personal Services (25-35% of this layer)
These tenants generate frequent visits, create built-in appointment traffic, and typically sign 5-7 year leases with strong renewal rates.
Core Categories: - Hair salons and barbershops (national franchises and local independents) - Nail salons and spa services - Pet grooming and pet supply - Dry cleaning and alterations - Phone repair and electronics services - Massage therapy and wellness services
Target Rent: $24-36 per square foot
Florida Optimization: Pet services perform exceptionally well in Florida due to high pet ownership rates (67% of households versus 62% nationally) and year-round outdoor activity. Dedicated dog-washing stations or small pet parks in your outdoor plaza create customer loyalty and social media visibility.
Convenience Services (15-25% of this layer)
These tenants fill space efficiently, require minimal tenant improvements, and provide valuable services that enhance overall center utility.
Proven Performers: - Shipping/mailbox services (UPS Store, FedEx) - Financial services (insurance offices, tax preparation, local banks) - Tutoring and education centers - Music lessons and art studios
Target Rent: $20-30 per square foot
Strategic Positioning:
Create a cohesive corridor or cluster for dining and personal services. The best performing layouts position food tenants on one side with outdoor seating facing personal services on the opposite side. This creates a plaza atmosphere with natural cross-visibility and social energy.
Layer 4: The Flexible Innovation Zone (5-15% of GLA)
Purpose: Create differentiation, generate buzz, adapt to evolving consumer preferences, and test emerging concepts
This is your competitive moat—the space that prevents your center from becoming commoditized.
Rotating Pop-Up Spaces (1,000-2,500 SF units)
Short-term leases (3-12 months) at premium rates ($40-65 per square foot) for: - Seasonal retail (holiday, summer beach gear, event-driven) - Local artisan and maker concepts - DTC brand testing (digital-native brands exploring physical retail) - Social-media-driven concepts (Instagram-worthy experiences)
Community Programming Space (2,000-5,000 SF)
This is your secret weapon for differentiation. Dedicated space for: - Farmers markets (weekend mornings) - Fitness classes (outdoor yoga, HIIT, cycling) - Community events (concerts, art fairs, food truck rallies) - Co-working and meeting rooms (weekday daytime activation)
Revenue Model: Charge vendors/organizers flat fees or percentage of sales, plus generate sponsorship revenue from local businesses. Operators successfully monetize this space at $8-15 per square foot annually while creating enormous goodwill and foot traffic lift.
Local-First Partnerships
Reserve 3-5 units specifically for locally-owned, community-connected concepts. These tenants: - Generate authentic neighborhood loyalty - Create social media engagement (locals love supporting “their” businesses) - Provide flexibility (often willing to accept shorter leases or revenue-share structures) - Fill space that national tenants won’t touch (smaller units, challenging layouts)
Florida Submarket Tenant Mix Variations
The four-layer framework holds across Florida, but optimal tenant selection varies by submarket demographics and competitive dynamics.
Orlando Metro: Tourism-Influenced Family Focus
· Stability anchor: Publix or Sprouts (Florida-based or health-focused grocers resonate)
· Dwell anchor: Family entertainment center or fitness with childcare
· Experiential corridor: Higher dining concentration (35% of experiential GLA), tourism-friendly concepts
· Innovation zone: Retail pop-ups aligned with seasonal tourism peaks
Occupancy target: 92-95% | Average rent: $24-30 PSF | Programming budget: $2.50-3.50 PSF annually
Tampa Bay: Young Professional & Military Demographics
· Stability anchor: Whole Foods, Lucky’s Market, or Publix GreenWise
· Dwell anchor: Boutique fitness clusters (multiple studios) or urgent care + dental
· Experiential corridor: Fast-casual dining + professional services (financial, insurance)
· Innovation zone: Co-working space + evening programming (wine tastings, networking events)
Occupancy target: 90-94% | Average rent: $22-28 PSF | Programming budget: $1.50-2.50 PSF annually
South Florida: High-Income & International Influence
· Stability anchor: Whole Foods, Fresh Market, or specialty grocer
· Dwell anchor: Luxury fitness (Equinox, Lifetime) or upscale cinema
· Experiential corridor: Chef-driven dining (higher price points) + premium personal services (med-spa, high-end salon)
· Innovation zone: Art galleries, design showrooms, DTC luxury brand pop-ups
Occupancy target: 93-97% | Average rent: $30-42 PSF | Programming budget: $3.00-4.50 PSF annually
Jacksonville: Suburban Family & Value-Conscious
· Stability anchor: Publix or value-oriented soft goods (Ross, HomeGoods)
· Dwell anchor: Mid-market fitness or family entertainment
· Experiential corridor: Value-oriented dining + family services (tutoring, pediatric dental, kids’ hair salon)
· Innovation zone: Community programming heavy (parents’ night out, kids’ activities)
Occupancy target: 88-92% | Average rent: $19-25 PSF | Programming budget: $1.00-2.00 PSF annually
Tenant Sourcing Playbook: How to Find and Land These Tenants
Having the right tenant mix strategy means nothing if you can’t execute the leasing. Here’s the proven approach:
Phase 1: Anchor Tenant Retention or Replacement (Months 1-3)
If you have a viable grocery or essential anchor with 5+ years remaining, keep them and focus on optimizing the surrounding mix. If your anchor is distressed or vacant, prioritize replacement immediately—most experiential tenants won’t commit until the anchor is secured.
Direct outreach to regional chains: Build relationships with real estate directors at Publix, Sprouts, Lucky’s Market, Whole Foods. They’re actively seeking Florida expansion sites and will move quickly on well-positioned opportunities.
Phase 2: Dwell-Time Anchor Recruitment (Months 2-4)
Fitness centers, healthcare, and entertainment tenants require longer lead times but anchor your repositioning credibility.
National franchise development contacts: EOS Fitness, Crunch, Orangetheory, and F45 have active Florida growth plans. Connect directly with franchise development teams, not local franchisees (yet).
Healthcare partnerships: Contact practice management groups representing urgent care, dental, and med-spa operators. They’re consolidating locations and actively seeking high-traffic retail sites.
Phase 3: Experiential Corridor Build-Out (Months 3-8)
With anchors secured, experiential tenant leasing accelerates dramatically.
Local broker partnerships: Engage tenant-rep brokers who specialize in restaurant and service concepts. They have existing relationships with regional operators and franchisees ready to expand.
Direct-to-operator outreach: Regional restaurant groups (4 Rivers, PDQ, Piesanos in Orlando; Ulele group in Tampa; local chef concepts in Miami) respond well to direct outreach from landlords offering attractive terms in high-traffic locations.
Service tenant packages: Create standardized lease packages for personal service tenants (hair, nails, pet grooming) with competitive rates, co-tenancy protections, and clear exclusivity parameters. These tenants want simple, fast lease execution.
Phase 4: Innovation Zone Activation (Ongoing)
Pop-up broker relationships: Work with specialized pop-up retail brokers (Leap, Bulletin, Appear Here) who represent DTC brands and emerging concepts seeking temporary space.
Community partnerships: Connect with local chambers of commerce, downtown development authorities, and community organizations to identify programming partners and local vendors for farmers markets and events.
Lease Structure Optimization for Experiential Tenants
Traditional landlord lease structures don’t work well for many experiential concepts. Here’s how to adapt:
For Pop-Up and Emerging Concepts: - Short-term leases (6-18 months) with renewal options - Base rent + percentage rent structure (e.g., $35 PSF base + 6% of gross sales above breakpoint) - Flexible termination clauses (both parties, 60-90 days notice) - Minimal tenant improvement allowances (these tenants want speed, not buildout dollars)
For Service Tenants: - 5-7 year initial terms with 2-3 renewal options - Modest annual escalations (2-3%) or CPI-based - Co-tenancy protections tied to anchor occupancy - Reasonable exclusivity (protect category but allow flexibility)
For Dining Tenants: - 10-year terms for fast-casual, 7-year for QSR - Percentage rent participation (typically 6-8% above natural breakpoint) - Outdoor seating rights clearly defined (permits, hours, alcohol service) - Explicit delivery/pickup protocols (Uber Eats, DoorDash access)
The Metrics That Prove Success
Track these KPIs monthly to validate your tenant mix is performing:
Traffic and Dwell Time: - Total foot traffic (traffic counters at main entries) - Average dwell time (Wi-Fi analytics or traffic counter data) - Cross-shopping rate (survey-based or traffic pattern analysis)
Financial Performance: - Rent per square foot by tenant category - Occupancy rate overall and by layer - Tenant sales per square foot (for percentage rent tenants) - Same-tenant rent growth on renewals
Tenant Health: - Renewal rates by category - Tenant improvement amortization recovery - Lease-up velocity for vacant spaces - Co-tenancy claim frequency
Target Benchmarks for Well-Executed Florida Experiential Centers: - Overall occupancy: 90-95% - Average dwell time: 65-90 minutes - Rent PSF: $24-35 (depending on submarket) - Tenant renewal rate: 75-85% - Lease-up time for vacant space: 60-120 days
Tomorrow: Redevelopment Execution
Now you have the tenant mix framework. Tomorrow, I’ll walk you through the physical transformation—how to actually redevelop your center to support this tenant mix, including:
· Capital allocation strategies (where to spend, where to save)
· Phased redevelopment timelines that minimize disruption
· Climate-conscious design elements that maximize Florida’s weather advantage
· Real case studies with actual costs and returns
We’ll move from strategy to execution—the specific construction, design, and project management details that turn tenant mix vision into operational reality.
About Brett Vogeler
Brett Vogeler is a Florida-based real estate broker specializing in commercial retail properties. With extensive experience in business brokerage, property ownership, and retail investment strategy, Brett provides straight-shooting guidance to investors navigating Florida’s dynamic real estate markets.
Have questions about tenant mix strategies for your specific center? Reply to this email—I read every response.
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